Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 3.035860 3.449379 3.888190 4.387415 4.938495 5.527089 6.202141
2024-12-15 2.405060 3.001973 3.683878 4.515316 5.496178 6.610827 7.967315
2024-12-22 1.912731 2.601513 3.442291 4.531448 5.891118 7.517868 9.595202
2024-12-29 1.630028 2.391133 3.375176 4.717009 6.472420 8.662179 11.567724
2025-01-05 1.401464 2.203884 3.296895 4.856797 6.982474 9.730618 13.496884
2025-01-12 1.167469 1.965818 3.109744 4.814665 7.228313 10.453166 15.004500
2025-01-19 1.017887 1.823527 3.031409 4.901622 7.638144 11.398547 16.838863
2025-01-26 0.889729 1.691947 2.947691 4.962673 8.002232 12.287393 18.627062
2025-02-02 0.786079 1.582565 2.881175 5.035313 8.376962 13.198819 20.477424
2025-02-09 0.681755 1.454747 2.767912 5.019285 8.608959 13.906956 22.060627
2025-02-16 0.583307 1.320992 2.627325 4.941848 8.733210 14.453234 23.422523
2025-02-23 0.517890 1.238345 2.562924 4.979486 9.033177 15.267270 25.201991
2025-03-02 0.448580 1.139107 2.461834 4.952457 9.237633 15.962544 26.862832
2025-03-09 0.405341 1.086697 2.440488 5.061428 9.671369 17.033420 29.141118
2025-03-16 0.355206 1.010367 2.364496 5.064788 9.925915 17.832039 31.032088
2025-03-23 0.331258 0.989275 2.393672 5.261580 10.520793 19.198511 33.859375
2025-03-30 0.305120 0.958215 2.398603 5.411555 11.040081 20.461349 36.566152
2025-04-06 0.265024 0.884573 2.305722 5.364159 11.203062 21.140921 38.360755
2025-04-13 0.240965 0.847656 2.286687 5.458636 11.624910 22.265992 40.911435
2025-04-20 0.217536 0.807632 2.255672 5.525095 11.996440 23.317600 43.373866
2025-04-27 0.197479 0.772956 2.232399 5.604348 12.393963 24.426223 45.963626
2025-05-04 0.173985 0.722712 2.166196 5.586784 12.604153 25.215074 48.041012
2025-05-11 0.149910 0.664580 2.073071 5.502143 12.677187 25.762142 49.723232